Mercadal vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SLL
0 - 1
MER
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MER
3 - 0
MNC
71%
19%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BNS
1 - 1
MER
37%
25%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
LLO
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PBL
1 - 0
MER
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SDF
2 - 0
MNU
65%
22%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
SDF
20%
26%
54%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SDF
0 - 0
UDA
71%
20%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CFP
0 - 0
SDF
17%
25%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SDF
2 - 0
CLL
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |