Mercadal vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PBL
1 - 1
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MER
3 - 2
FLN
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SNF
1 - 3
MER
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MER
3 - 2
CLL
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SRF
0 - 2
MER
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SDF
3 - 1
CAM
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
SDF
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SDF
1 - 1
CFP
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MNC
0 - 0
SDF
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SDF
1 - 0
MLL
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |