Mercadal vs Santanyi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MER
1 - 2
PBL
23%
25%
52%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ART
5 - 1
MER
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
MER
0 - 4
MLL
15%
22%
63%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
ALA
0 - 0
MER
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santanyi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PBL
1 - 1
SNF
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SNF
0 - 0
MLL
38%
26%
37%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ALA
1 - 5
SNF
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SNF
3 - 1
ADC
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SNF
3 - 2
PXD
48%
26%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |