Mercadal vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AND
4 - 1
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
CDE
35%
27%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PCE
3 - 0
MER
45%
24%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
SLL
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 1
MER
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PBL
1 - 0
ALC
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SNF
1 - 4
PBL
33%
26%
41%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PBL
2 - 0
PXD
32%
28%
40%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MNU
0 - 1
PBL
52%
25%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PBL
1 - 0
UDC
47%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |