Mercadal vs Penya Arrabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CLL
3 - 2
MER
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MER
1 - 2
MNC
38%
26%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FLN
1 - 1
MER
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
LLO
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MNU
0 - 2
MER
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 3
MNC
16%
23%
61%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LLO
4 - 1
PEN
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 3
SNF
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
PEN
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 5
ALC
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |