Mercadal vs Manacor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
13º
10º
58
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 99% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLL
1 - 2
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
PIN
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SLL
1 - 2
MER
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SNF
1 - 0
MER
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
BNS
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manacor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MNC
4 - 0
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JOR
0 - 1
MNC
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MNC
0 - 4
AND
17%
23%
61%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CLL
1 - 1
MNC
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MNC
1 - 1
PIN
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |