Mercadal vs Felanitx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 1
MER
25%
25%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MER
2 - 3
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PBL
2 - 0
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
PXD
20%
25%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SRF
1 - 1
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Felanitx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FLN
0 - 1
CDS
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FLN
0 - 2
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BNS
1 - 1
FLN
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FLN
0 - 1
LLO
17%
24%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FLN
2 - 1
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |