Mercadal vs Campos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 4
MER
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
SRF
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SNF
4 - 0
MER
54%
22%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
BNS
30%
25%
46%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
LLO
2 - 5
MER
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Campos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
UDA
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ATB
3 - 1
CAM
70%
19%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 1
PXD
18%
25%
57%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAM
5 - 0
ESP
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SRF
2 - 1
CAM
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |