Mercadal vs Cala d´Or analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PBL
3 - 2
MER
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MER
4 - 0
ART
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MLL
6 - 0
MER
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 0
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
ALA
32%
24%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cala d´Or
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 2
ART
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 1
CAL
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 0
MHN
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALC
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
AND
2 - 0
CAL
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -2 |