Mercadal vs CE Alaior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 3
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
BNS
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SRF
6 - 2
MER
51%
25%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 3
PXD
29%
28%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UDA
0 - 2
MER
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CE Alaior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 0
BNS
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PXD
3 - 0
ALA
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MNC
3 - 0
ALA
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 3
LLO
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |