Mendrisio-Stabio vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RAP
1 - 0
MEN
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FCW
2 - 1
MEN
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MEN
2 - 1
ESC
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ZUG
2 - 2
MEN
68%
18%
13%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HON
0 - 0
MEN
23%
25%
53%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 3
KRE
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FCG
1 - 2
LUG
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GCB
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 2
LUG
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
ESC
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |