Mendrisio-Stabio vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
YFJ
2 - 1
MEN
66%
19%
14%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MEN
0 - 2
ESC
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MEN
2 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LUZ
0 - 2
MEN
60%
21%
18%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MEN
2 - 0
TUG
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 3
LUZ
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 0
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
WIN
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
STG
3 - 2
LUG
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 2
SCH
22%
22%
57%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |