Mendrisio-Stabio vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
2º
1º
39
2º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 3
MEN
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MEN
3 - 4
ZUG
35%
25%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCE
1 - 4
MEN
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MEN
5 - 0
CHA
89%
9%
3%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 1
BRU
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 2
FCC
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
FCC
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 3
ESC
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LUZ
4 - 1
ASC
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |