Mendrisio-Stabio vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IBA
2 - 1
MEN
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MEN
1 - 1
FCC
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 4
MEN
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
MEN
3 - 4
NOV
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
EMM
2 - 0
MEN
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ASC
3 - 2
PER
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
IBA
1 - 2
ASC
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 0
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 2
ASC
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
4 - 3
EMM
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |