Mendrisio-Stabio vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
EMM
2 - 0
MEN
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GOL
0 - 1
MEN
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MEN
2 - 0
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
MEN
23%
24%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MEN
1 - 2
HER
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 3
IBA
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 1
NOV
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 3
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 3
ASC
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GOL
5 - 3
NOV
67%
16%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |