Mendi vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
MEN
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MEN
6 - 2
CDB
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SJU
2 - 0
MEN
75%
18%
7%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MEN
0 - 0
HUA
25%
26%
49%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 0
MEN
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
UDM
2 - 2
CDA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
UDM
19%
23%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
UDM
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
4 - 1
RIV
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAM
0 - 2
UDM
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |