Memphis vs SMU Mustangs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Memphis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UCF
0 - 3
MPH
86%
10%
5%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TMP
0 - 2
MPH
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 1
TUL
10%
16%
75%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 4
UCF
10%
16%
75%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 3
UCF
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SMU
1 - 0
TMP
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 1
SMU
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
SFB
80%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TMP
1 - 4
SMU
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 1
SMU
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |