Memmingen vs TSV Nördlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
7º
1º
41
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DEI
1 - 2
MEM
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 0
LAN
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
MEM
40%
24%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 1
ERL
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
MEM
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 1
KOT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 1
186
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ISM
2 - 1
TSV
31%
22%
47%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 0
HEI
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
5 - 1
TSV
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |