Memmingen vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
MEM
2 - 1
QUF
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
MEM
1 - 1
FEU
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
FRO
1 - 3
MEM
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
MEM
0 - 1
FCS
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
BAY
1 - 0
MEM
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
BAY
2 - 1
FRO
59%
22%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
BAY
1 - 3
QUF
32%
25%
44%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
FEU
5 - 1
BAY
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
FCS
1 - 1
BAY
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
BAY
3 - 2
TSA
28%
24%
49%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | +1 |