Mels vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
UZW
0 - 0
MEL
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
WID
2 - 1
MEL
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
3 - 2
UST
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GOS
0 - 2
MEL
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 4
SIR
53%
21%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 3
RUT
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
WIL
72%
15%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
FRA
35%
21%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
4 - 1
FRE
35%
22%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
WIL
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |