Mels vs Phönix Seen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SIR
3 - 3
MEL
45%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 2
SEU
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
6 - 5
MEL
50%
21%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
WID
8 - 1
MEL
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
FCS
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Phönix Seen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 3
FCO
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCP
1 - 4
LIN
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 0
FCP
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 1
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCP
4 - 0
FRA
23%
23%
54%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |