Melksham Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
8º
20º
12º
55
3º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
48 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
42 | 42 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
34 | 34 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
27 | 27 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
LAR
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LYM
3 - 2
MEL
24%
21%
56%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
3 - 1
MEL
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
WIL
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EVE
2 - 1
MEL
41%
24%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
PAU
56%
20%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 2
BAS
12%
16%
73%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
WUN
2 - 1
BAS
15%
16%
69%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
AFT
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |