Melita vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
RAB
2 - 2
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
MEL
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
QOR
2 - 0
MEL
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 2
FLO
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 2
QOR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 3
FLO
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 2
QOR
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
RAB
1 - 2
HAM
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 1
HAM
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 3
BIR
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |