Melita vs Birzebbuga St. Peters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 1
MEL
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PIE
2 - 1
MEL
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LIJ
0 - 1
MEL
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
SAI
48%
23%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ZEJ
1 - 4
MEL
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
4 - 1
SAI
35%
24%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ZEJ
0 - 2
BIR
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
4 - 0
HAM
49%
22%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MSI
3 - 1
BIR
44%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 1
SGC
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |