UD Melilla vs Marbella FC analysis


57	ELO	56
-23.8%	Tilt	-18.3%
3922º	General ELO ranking	2667º
120º	Country ELO ranking	89º
ELO win probability

38.4%

UD Melilla

29.7%

Draw

32%

Marbella FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%

29.7%

Draw

0-0

11.9%

1-1

13.4%

2-2

3.8%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

29.7%

32%
Win probability

                        
                    
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-2%

+7%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Melilla

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
05 Sep. 2018	YEC 1 - 2 MEL 18% 24% 58%	57	31	26	0
02 Sep. 2018	SAN 0 - 0 MEL 39% 28% 33%	57	51	6	0
25 Aug. 2018	MEL 1 - 0 CDE 51% 27% 22%	57	49	8	0
17 Aug. 2018	MEL 1 - 2 ATB 58% 25% 17%	57	44	13	0
11 Aug. 2018	ANT 1 - 0 MEL 19% 24% 57%	58	36	22	-1

Matches

Marbella FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
05 Sep. 2018	MAR 0 - 1 CDE 51% 26% 23%	58	54	4
02 Sep. 2018	MAR 3 - 1 MAL 67% 21% 12%	58	42	16
27 Aug. 2018	ALM 2 - 1 MAR 27% 28% 46%	58	46	12
16 Aug. 2018	MAR 2 - 0 ANT 74% 18% 8%	58	37	21
10 Aug. 2018	MAR 0 - 2 CCF 15% 20% 65%	58	73	15