UD Melilla vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
MEL
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
JER
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
MEL
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CFB
1 - 0
MEL
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
JER
1 - 2
MAR
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALI
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
5 - 2
LOR
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CIU
2 - 1
MAR
40%
30%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 3
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |