UD Melilla vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
23.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 0
ONT
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
MEL
48%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 0
DBN
67%
23%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
5 - 1
MEL
36%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 1
BAL
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UCA
3 - 1
MAL
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
UCA
30%
29%
42%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UCA
1 - 2
JUM
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
REC
0 - 1
UCA
31%
31%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
UCA
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |