UD Melilla vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
17%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
44.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
EXT
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CDE
1 - 0
MEL
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
REC
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ECI
2 - 1
MEL
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
BAL
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 1
CDE
76%
18%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
REC
0 - 1
UCA
21%
31%
48%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
UCA
2 - 2
ECI
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
UCA
27%
30%
44%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 0
LOR
76%
16%
7%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |