UD Melilla vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
MEL
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ROD
3 - 2
MEL
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
RJA
29%
31%
40%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BET
3 - 1
MEL
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UCA
3 - 2
LOR
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UCA
2 - 2
ARR
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
UCA
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UCA
2 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 1
UCA
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |