UD Melilla vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALB
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CPC
0 - 0
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BET
1 - 3
MEL
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
MEL
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 2
UCA
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UCA
0 - 0
RJA
24%
30%
47%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
UCA
0 - 1
ROD
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
UCA
1 - 2
ARR
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
UCA
79%
14%
6%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |