UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAR
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
MEL
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
GRA
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 0
LOR
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 1
ROD
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDE
0 - 0
RJA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RJA
2 - 2
MAN
75%
18%
8%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |