UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
27%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 1
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
LEV
4 - 1
MEL
86%
11%
3%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ROD
2 - 0
MEL
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
ARR
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
MEL
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 0
ROD
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
RJA
88%
9%
2%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
RJA
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAR
39%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 0
RJA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |