UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
SRQ
3 - 1
MEL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 1
MEL
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 2
AGD
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 1
ROQ
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
POL
2 - 1
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
ROQ
40%
31%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 0
RJA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
RJA
0 - 0
PUE
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
JUM
1 - 5
RJA
15%
25%
61%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |