UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
POL
1 - 0
MEL
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 3
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 2
MAR
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAD
3 - 0
MEL
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 0
BET
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
SFE
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
UBC
1 - 1
RJA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 0
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
G74
1 - 3
RJA
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
ROQ
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |