UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
VVA
1 - 1
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MEL
5 - 3
ECI
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
MAL
2 - 2
MEL
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MEL
0 - 0
GRA
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CER
2 - 5
MEL
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAR
39%
29%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 2
RJA
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
RJA
0 - 2
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BAZ
1 - 2
RJA
46%
28%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
RJA
2 - 2
CAR
35%
30%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |