UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
29.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
CDL
2 - 1
MEL
46%
30%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
ECI
41%
30%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
MEL
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
AGD
35%
30%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 0
MEL
64%
23%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ECI
1 - 0
RJA
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
AGD
34%
30%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
UBC
0 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
DBN
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
RJA
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |