UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
44%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
COI
1 - 1
MEL
32%
31%
38%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
MEL
3 - 0
MIJ
57%
25%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
CDP
0 - 0
MEL
35%
30%
35%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
MAL
0 - 3
MEL
48%
27%
25%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
MEL
4 - 0
MMA
77%
17%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
RJA
3 - 0
MIJ
82%
13%
5%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
MAL
1 - 2
RJA
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
RJA
1 - 2
AMA
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
RJA
2 - 1
UDS
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
ANT
0 - 2
RJA
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |