Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-6
UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
15.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ATB
1 - 3
MEL
56%
20%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 2
CAT
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 0
CAT
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1952 |
MEL
4 - 1
MUR
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ORI
4 - 1
RJA
35%
22%
43%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1952 |
VAL
3 - 1
RJA
72%
15%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
MLL
2 - 1
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 2
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |