UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
MEL
6 - 0
LIN
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
COR
1 - 2
MEL
55%
21%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
MEL
3 - 1
ALG
57%
20%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
CAD
3 - 2
MEL
62%
19%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
MEL
1 - 3
MAL
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 2
COR
71%
16%
13%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ALG
0 - 1
RJA
52%
21%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
RJA
4 - 0
CAD
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
MAL
3 - 1
RJA
81%
12%
8%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 1
REC
62%
19%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |