UD Melilla vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
53.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MST
0 - 1
MEL
28%
30%
42%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 2
FUE
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
MEL
0 - 1
PON
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CDO
0 - 1
MEL
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CEL
3 - 0
MEL
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
RAY
3 - 0
CEL
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
RSI
2 - 2
RAY
13%
23%
64%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
RAY
15%
25%
60%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
RAY
2 - 0
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
PPJ
1 - 1
RAY
20%
25%
55%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |