UD Melilla vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
26%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
MEL
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
UCA
24%
32%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
EXT
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CDE
1 - 0
MEL
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
REC
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 2
CDE
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
REC
2 - 0
MAD
36%
30%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 0
ECI
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 0
MAD
48%
27%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MAD
0 - 2
LOR
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -2 |