UD Melilla vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 2
MEL
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
MEL
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 3
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 1
GUA
25%
28%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
LOR
36%
28%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
UCA
2 - 1
LUC
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
CCF
0 - 1
LUC
76%
17%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LUC
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |