UD Melilla vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
MEL
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 0
ECI
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
MEL
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAD
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
MEL
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 2
ARR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 0
LUC
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
GUA
26%
28%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |