UD Melilla vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CPC
2 - 0
MEL
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 1
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
BAL
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BET
1 - 0
MEL
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
MEL
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 2
ALM
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ROQ
0 - 1
LUC
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 0
ECI
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
BET
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
LUC
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |