UD Melilla vs Lorca Atlético CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 4
MEL
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
CAD
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 0
MEL
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
CDB
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 1
CFB
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 0
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ROQ
1 - 0
LOR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
ECI
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 1
LOR
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 0
CPC
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |