UD Melilla vs Larache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
AFC
0 - 2
MEL
31%
23%
47%
|
55 | 18 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
MEL
5 - 2
UTA
89%
8%
4%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
PES
1 - 2
MEL
30%
23%
48%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
MEL
4 - 2
UDE
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CDB
7 - 0
MEL
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
LCF
2 - 0
AFC
93%
5%
2%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
UTA
0 - 2
LCF
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
LCF
2 - 1
PES
94%
5%
2%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
VIL
2 - 1
LCF
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1954 |
SFE
8 - 1
LCF
81%
11%
8%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -4 |