UD Melilla vs Larache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
18.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
CAA
3 - 1
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
BAL
5 - 1
MEL
40%
23%
38%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -3 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
MEL
3 - 1
LCF
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
RJA
4 - 0
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
LIN
1 - 2
MEL
42%
22%
36%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
LCF
3 - 2
ANT
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
LCF
3 - 2
RJA
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
MEL
3 - 1
LCF
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
LCF
2 - 2
COR
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
ALG
3 - 2
LCF
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |