UD Melilla vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
30.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
MEL
3 - 2
CDB
32%
30%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 1
MEL
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MEL
2 - 1
ARE
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SEV
2 - 2
MEL
59%
25%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MEL
3 - 0
TOM
51%
28%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 0
JER
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
JER
2 - 1
SEV
31%
31%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
JER
22%
26%
53%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
JER
2 - 0
CDL
40%
31%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
3 - 0
JER
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |