UD Melilla vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
MEL
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CFB
1 - 0
MEL
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
CIU
62%
22%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
MEL
17%
26%
58%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 0
JER
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
JER
1 - 1
CIU
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 2
JER
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
JER
0 - 0
AGD
21%
28%
51%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 0
JER
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |