UD Melilla vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
MEL
1 - 1
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
MER
3 - 0
MEL
49%
28%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
MEL
3 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
UBE
4 - 1
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
MEL
0 - 1
SFE
57%
27%
16%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
JER
2 - 0
DBN
52%
27%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 1
JER
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
JER
5 - 1
EXT
49%
28%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
MER
1 - 0
JER
59%
25%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
JER
1 - 1
MAL
58%
27%
15%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |